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🧠 PHASES Score (5-year aneurysm rupture risk)

Estimate the 5-year rupture risk of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm with the PHASES score.

Clinical takeaway

Standalone discrimination is limited — combine with ELAPSS, vessel-wall imaging and morphology.

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When to use

Weigh observation vs intervention for unruptured intracranial aneurysms.

How it works

Points from Population, Hypertension, Age ≥ 70, Size, Earlier SAH and Site. Total maps to an approximate 5-year rupture risk (0.4% at low scores to ~ 17.8% at ≥ 12).

Key points

  • Standalone discrimination is limited — combine with ELAPSS, vessel-wall imaging and morphology.
  • Derived from North American/Finnish/Japanese cohorts; no China-specific term.
  • Use for direction, not as a sole treatment trigger.

References

Decision support for licensed clinicians only; not a substitute for clinical judgement, diagnosis or local protocols.

Worked calculation

The values below come from this tool's own example placeholders and are computed server-side with the formula shown on this page, so the arithmetic can be checked quickly. It demonstrates how to substitute values only — it is not clinical advice and not a real case.

PopulationNorth America/Europe (non-Finnish) · China/other (baseline 0)
HypertensionNo
Age< 70 y
Maximum aneurysm diameter< 7 mm
Earlier SAH (from a different aneurysm)No
SiteICA

PHASES total0 · 5-yr rupture risk ≈ 0.4%

  • Population PNorth America/Europe (non-Finnish) +0
  • Hypertension HNo 0
  • Age A< 70 0
PopulationFinnish
HypertensionYes
Age≥ 70 y
Maximum aneurysm diameter≥ 20 mm
Earlier SAH (from a different aneurysm)Yes
SiteACA/Pcom/posterior circulation

PHASES total22 · 5-yr rupture risk ≈ 17.8%

  • Population PFinnish +5
  • Hypertension HYes +1
  • Age A≥ 70 +1

Frequently asked questions

What is PHASES Score (5-year aneurysm rupture risk)?
Estimate the 5-year rupture risk of an unruptured intracranial aneurysm with the PHASES score.
How is PHASES Score (5-year aneurysm rupture risk) calculated? What is the core formula?
Points from Population, Hypertension, Age ≥ 70, Size, Earlier SAH and Site. Total maps to an approximate 5-year rupture risk (0.4% at low scores to ~ 17.8% at ≥ 12).
When is PHASES Score (5-year aneurysm rupture risk) used?
Weigh observation vs intervention for unruptured intracranial aneurysms.
What are the key clinical points for PHASES Score (5-year aneurysm rupture risk)?
Standalone discrimination is limited — combine with ELAPSS, vessel-wall imaging and morphology. Derived from North American/Finnish/Japanese cohorts; no China-specific term. Use for direction, not as a sole treatment trigger.
What are the limits and cautions when using PHASES Score (5-year aneurysm rupture risk)?
For licensed clinicians and clinical researchers. Interpret results with history, investigations and local protocols; not a diagnosis or prescription, and not a substitute for multidisciplinary decision-making or local guidelines.
How is PHASES Score (5-year aneurysm rupture risk) calculated in practice? Can you show a worked example?
Inputs: Population North America/Europe (non-Finnish) · China/other (baseline 0), Hypertension No, Age < 70 y, Maximum aneurysm diameter < 7 mm, Earlier SAH (from a different aneurysm) No, Site ICA → Result: PHASES total 0 · 5-yr rupture risk ≈ 0.4%(Population P: North America/Europe (non-Finnish) +0, Hypertension H: No 0, Age A: < 70 0) Inputs: Population Finnish, Hypertension Yes, Age ≥ 70 y, Maximum aneurysm diameter ≥ 20 mm, Earlier SAH (from a different aneurysm) Yes, Site ACA/Pcom/posterior circulation → Result: PHASES total 22 · 5-yr rupture risk ≈ 17.8%(Population P: Finnish +5, Hypertension H: Yes +1, Age A: ≥ 70 +1)

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