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❤️ ASCVD 10-Year Risk (Pooled Cohort Equations)

Estimate the 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) with the 2013 ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations. Free, instant, browser-side — no data leaves your device.

Clinical takeaway

A statin is generally considered at ≥ 7.5% 10-year risk, with shared decision-making and risk-enhancing factors.

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When to use

Primary-prevention risk assessment in adults aged 40–79 without established ASCVD, to guide statin and risk-factor decisions.

How it works

Race- and sex-specific Pooled Cohort Equations using age, total and HDL cholesterol, systolic BP (treated/untreated), smoking and diabetes. Strata: < 5% low, 5–7.5% borderline, 7.5–20% intermediate, ≥ 20% high.

Key points

  • A statin is generally considered at ≥ 7.5% 10-year risk, with shared decision-making and risk-enhancing factors.
  • The PCE were derived in US White and African-American cohorts and often over-estimate risk in Asian and some other populations.
  • Use only for primary prevention (no established ASCVD); cholesterol entered in mmol/L is converted internally to mg/dL.
  • Consider a locally validated model (China-PAR, SCORE2) where available.

References

Decision support for licensed clinicians only; not a substitute for clinical judgement, diagnosis or local protocols.

Frequently asked questions

What is ASCVD 10-Year Risk (Pooled Cohort Equations)?
Estimate the 10-year risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) with the 2013 ACC/AHA Pooled Cohort Equations. Free, instant, browser-side — no data leaves your device.
How is ASCVD 10-Year Risk (Pooled Cohort Equations) calculated? What is the core formula?
Race- and sex-specific Pooled Cohort Equations using age, total and HDL cholesterol, systolic BP (treated/untreated), smoking and diabetes. Strata: < 5% low, 5–7.5% borderline, 7.5–20% intermediate, ≥ 20% high.
When is ASCVD 10-Year Risk (Pooled Cohort Equations) used?
Primary-prevention risk assessment in adults aged 40–79 without established ASCVD, to guide statin and risk-factor decisions.
What are the key clinical points for ASCVD 10-Year Risk (Pooled Cohort Equations)?
A statin is generally considered at ≥ 7.5% 10-year risk, with shared decision-making and risk-enhancing factors. The PCE were derived in US White and African-American cohorts and often over-estimate risk in Asian and some other populations. Use only for primary prevention (no established ASCVD); cholesterol entered in mmol/L is converted internally to mg/dL. Consider a locally validated model (China-PAR, SCORE2) where available.
What are the limits and cautions when using ASCVD 10-Year Risk (Pooled Cohort Equations)?
For licensed clinicians and clinical researchers. Interpret results with history, investigations and local protocols; not a diagnosis or prescription, and not a substitute for multidisciplinary decision-making or local guidelines.

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